Monday, October 10, 2011

video worth watching

http://agrariannation.blogspot.com/

Scroll down on this interesting site to also watch a significant video titled: A Farm for the Future.
The short film in itself is worth the visit. And the subject concerns the reality of diminishing oil
derived energy for food production. And yes, it's somewhat suitable for the children, as it is a very beautiful pastoral setting.

I have followed this energy issue for some time. It is complex but also basic to our survival.
And whether we choose amongst the various dietary options or just go with what is offered on the store shelves,
for all of us, food options will soon be ending.
What does 'soon' mean? Tell me if you find out. And just for the can kicking participation, and considering when the oil energy society commenced, and that meaning significant oil production. And the supposed Bell Curve which must be very distorted by recent exponential world population growth; how about a generation? And then that's followed by more stumbling on the decent.
Conclusion: Predictions difficult but pattern apparent.

This is hardly new information with regards to 'peak oil' or it's implications... world famine and die off.
What we are also experiencing is lack of acknowledgment of this world crisis in both oil and food 
production...and for the seven billion world population.

We are not being confronted with a cyclical phenomena where the population experiences "Hard Times"
followed by a slow return to the former "Good Times".
What apparently will be our future is not a bell curve decline implying a even leg but predictable decent to an early nineteen thirties 
starting point. That would be a nice fantasy of retracing our glorious ascent.
And as far as history goes it doesn't get any better than our recent belly stuffing, industrial world: Pig out!
The more recent projections (Demitri Orlov, 2011) are predicting a step down decline which is a sudden production/supply contraction followed by a plateau and which will then be followed by another sudden drop, and again the plateau scenario. This is not factoring in the economics or the worlds climate change implications.

Numerous authors have been describing what the peak oil projection implication will look like and for some time.
But it's projections based on research and information we are not inclined to seek out. As an example who is interested 
in how M. King Hubbert in 1956 determined US oil production would peak in 1971? And yes, it did peak and others then 
attempted to apply the equation to world production and which is briefly referred to in this video.

But we are collectively still assuming that the party will never end.
So are we of the mind set of the Lemming's who must say: Just shut up and keep swimming!
Well, it appears that way, but for those few willing to hear what's ahead, videos like this may be a 
possible warning.

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